Research

Publications

Agnes Guenther & J. Myles Shaver (2024)

Re-Examining the Industry Experience–Venture Survival Relationship

Strategy Science, Strategy Science 2024 9:1, 79-96 ISSN 2333-2050 (print), ISSN 2333-2077 (online) https://doi.org/10.1287/stsc.2022.0033

We re-examine the finding that new ventures employing individuals with industry experience have survival advantages and conclude that it is unlikely a reflection of the underlying theoretical mechanism advanced in the literature—individuals applying their industry-specific knowledge. 

We come to this conclusion by leveraging detailed linked employer-employee data from Denmark and conducting an inferred pattern analysis where we analyze several empirical relationships that we interpret in tandem. After replicating the industry experience–venture survival relationship, we identify several empirical puzzles if the underlying causal mechanism is leveraging industry-specific knowledge. In light of these puzzles, analysis of their robustness, and initial exploratory empirical investigations, we propose that other human capital characteristics that correlate with industry experience (i.e., overall experience and wages) are better explanatory factors. The analysis illustrates how the data-grounded steps of an inferred pattern analysis can guide future theoretical development and empirical investigations to identify the causal mechanism underlying a well-established empirical relationship in the literature.

Agnes Guenther, Boris Eisenbart & Andy Dong (2021)

Creativity and successful product concept selection for innovation.

International Journal of Design Creativity and Innovation, 9(1), 3-19. doi:10.1080/21650349.2020.1858970

  • Distinguished paper award 2021

Selecting novel product concepts for further development into successful innovations entails decision making under conditions of high uncertainty. The literature discusses several influencing factors for making accurate decisions in such situations, such as domain expertise to evaluate technical feasibility and market potential. Recent scholarship increasingly highlights the decision makers’ personal creative capabilities to have an important influence in dealing with uncertain options. This article…

This article examines an individual’s creativity and its relation to the individual’s propensity to select novel product concepts and to choose product concepts correctly for further development. We present an experimental study showing that an individual’s level of creativity increases the likelihood of accepting novel product concepts without negatively affecting decision accuracy. Domain expertise operationalized as familiarity with the intended, central use case or technology in the product concept neither influences the likelihood of accepting new product concepts nor decision accuracy. These findings have strong implications for companies in relation to managing individuals selecting product concepts for further development in early stages of the innovation process.

Oehmen, J., Guenther, A., Herrmann, J., Schulte, J., & Willumsen, P. (2020)

Risk Management in product development: Risk identification, assessment, and mitigation – a literature review. 

Proceedings of the Design Society: DESIGN Conference, 1, 657-666. doi:10.1017/dsd.2020.27

This paper reviews the literature on risk management practices and methods in product design and development. 

Based on an expert workshop by the Risk Management Processes and Methods in Design Special Interest Group within the Design Society and literature review, three key areas are discussed: risk identification, assessment, and mitigation. In each area, researchers have described practices that are used in product development organizations, proposed new methods to support risk management processes and decision-making, and generated evidence to evaluate the effectiveness of these activities.

Risk management - decorative picture
Creativity – Agnes Guenther – decorative picture

Agnes Guenther, Eisenbart, B., Dong, A., (2017)

Creativity as a way to innovate successfully.

Proceedings of the 21th International Conference on Engineering Design (ICED17), Vol. 8: Human Behavior in Design, Canada. ISBN: 978-1-904770-96-4

Selecting innovative design concepts for further development entails decision-making under conditions of sometimes extreme uncertainty pertaining to technical feasibility and market potential. In such situations, decision makers all too often become risk averse and reliant on known metrics that are inherently based on deductive and inductive logics. In prior research, however, good decision making on innovation has been linked with the complementary use of another form of logic: abductive reasoning. Abductive reasoning changes the mind-set of decision makers to become intrinsically forward thinking and explorative towards innovation opportunity. In this paper…

In this paper, we present an experimental study suggesting that the cognitive, creative capabilities of humans correlate positively with their use of abductive reasoning in decision making. We are further able to show that a higher level of abductive reasoning leads to significantly better, i.e. more accurate, decisions in selecting successful innovation concepts. These findings have strong implications for companies seeking to improve their innovative performance, specifically, how and by whom decisions on innovation should be made.

Working papers

Agnes Guenther & Jay B. Barney (2023)

Does Firm-Specific Human Capital Increase or Decrease Mobility?

http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4381552

An ongoing debate in the field of strategic human capital is whether high levels of firm-specific human capital decrease or increase employee mobility. Some argue that firm-specific human capital limits employment options, thus reducing mobility. Others argue that firm-specific human capital, because it signals an employee’s willingness and ability to make such investments, is broadly valuable and increases mobility. Empirical findings using tenure as a measure of firm-specific human capital provide mixed results. Addressing the puzzle, this paper suggests…

that whether firm-specific human capital decreases or increases employee mobility depends on the extent to which an employee’s current firm relies on team production to generate economic value. Analysis of linked employer-employee data on 1,024 R&D workers in acquired firms provides support for this idea. Implications for human capital theory are discussed.

Complementarity – decorative picture

Agnes Guenther (2021)

Complementary Human Capital and Post-Acquisition Employee Mobility

SSRN

Much of the literature on how acquisitions impact employee mobility has focused on the psychological consequences of acquisitions on employees. This study explores an alternative explanation of employee decisions to leave an acquired firm or not: potential changes in individuals’ post-acquisition productivity that would occur if the individual decided to leave the firm. 

It suggests that employees working in target firms with high levels of complementary human capital are less likely to leave post-acquisition because they may face difficulties in realizing the same level of productivity elsewhere, which reduces their ability to appropriate some of the value of their human capital. In line with the theorized mechanism, the relationship between the level of complementary human capital in a target firm pre-acquisition and employee post-acquisition mobility is attenuated by (1) the likelihood of complementary human capital being disrupted by the acquisition itself, (2) an employee’s reliance on her general human capital, and (3) her replaceability via the external labor market. Implications for the literature on acquisitions and complementary human capital are discussed.

Andreas Distel, Agnes Guenther & Wolfgang Sofka (2024)

How Salary Comparisons Among Spouses and Social Norms Affect the Salary Negotiations of R&D Workers

Academy of Management Proceedings 2024 (1), 20003

R&D workers are of strategic importance for firms because they accumulate tacit knowledge about their employers’ technologies. They have substantial bargaining power about their salaries because this knowledge would be attractive for competitors but hard to replace by their existing employers. While these conditions are well understood, we know comparatively little about when R&D workers are motivated to negotiate aggressively for higher salaries. 

We draw on theoretical mechanisms from social comparisons within marriages in social psychology and reason that R&D workers who earn less than their spouses will negotiate higher salary increases. Further, we propose that social norms make this effect stronger for male R&D workers who are traditionally considered as the breadwinners in households as well as for R&D workers who have a relatively higher-ranked job than their spouses which makes them sensitive to seeing their status threatened. We test and support these hypotheses for 70,312 married R&D workers in 3,710 unique firms in Denmark between 2008 and 2016.

Salary comparison
Stakeholder as systems

Agnes Guenther & Jay B. Barney (2023)

"Firms" can be stakeholders, too

Stakeholder Conference 2023

For the last several decades, the field of strategic management has been organized around the central research question: Why do some firms outperform others? This question has been fruitful for the field and has generated important theoretical and empirical research. However, at its core, this question puts firm performance, and in particular, relative firm performance, at the center of strategic management research. This would, of course, be reasonable if firms were the only place, or at least the most dominant place, where economic value is created. However,…

over the last several years, scholarly work has made it clear that firms—as they are traditionally defined—are just one place where economic value can be created. Research on platforms, ecosystems, value nets, and related phenomena suggests that economic value can be created in a variety of settings in the modern economy. For this reason, strategic management’s historical emphasis on understanding firm performance is actually quite limiting. Instead of strategic management being “firm-centric” this paper suggests that it might be useful to put the question of “how economic value is created and appropriated in the economy” at the center of strategic management research. In this approach, a firm—rather than being at the center of a set of stakeholders—is itself a stakeholder.

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